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South Africa Seals WTC Final Spot; India, Australia, and Sri Lanka in a Tight Race for Second Place

South Africa Seals WTC Final Spot; India, Australia, and Sri Lanka in a Tight Race for Second Place

South Africa’s dramatic two-wicket victory against Pakistan in Centurion has ensured their place in the World Test Championship (WTC) final, leaving just one spot up for grabs. India, Australia, and Sri Lanka are the remaining contenders, each requiring specific scenarios to make it to the final. Here’s what each team needs to qualify.

India

Current Points Percentage: 55.89 | Remaining Matches: 2 Tests vs. Australia (away)

  • To secure a guaranteed spot, India must win both remaining Tests in Melbourne and Sydney, finishing with 60.53%, ahead of Australia (57.02%) even if Australia sweeps Sri Lanka 2-0.
  • A win and a draw would leave India at 57.02%. In this case, India would need Australia to earn no more than 16 points in Sri Lanka (a win and a draw).
  • A win and a loss would leave India at 55.26%, relying on Sri Lanka beating Australia by at least a 1-0 margin.
  • Two draws would see India finish on 53.51%, which Sri Lanka can surpass with a 2-0 win, while Australia would need at least one win in Sri Lanka.
  • A draw and a loss would drop India to 51.75%, eliminating them from contention.

Australia

Current Points Percentage: 58.89 | Remaining Matches: 2 Tests vs. India (home), 2 Tests vs. Sri Lanka (away)

  • Winning both Tests against India would confirm Australia’s qualification, finishing at 57.02% even if they lose 2-0 to Sri Lanka.
  • A win and a draw against India would still place them ahead of India, but Sri Lanka could surpass Australia with a 2-0 series win.
  • If Australia win one and lose one against India, they would need at least one victory in Sri Lanka to stay in the race.
  • Drawing one and losing one against India would require Australia to win both Tests in Sri Lanka.
  • Losing both Tests against India would eliminate Australia from contention.

Sri Lanka

Current Points Percentage: 45.45 | Remaining Matches: 2 Tests vs. Australia (home)

  • Sri Lanka can reach a maximum of 53.85% by winning both Tests against Australia. To qualify, they also need the following results in the India-Australia series:
    1. Both Melbourne and Sydney Tests ending in draws, or
    2. Australia winning one Test while the other is drawn.
  • Any other scenario would see either India or Australia surpass Sri Lanka’s maximum percentage, ending their hopes of qualifying.

With one spot remaining in the WTC final, every match will be crucial in determining the second finalist.

Updated on 29th December, 2024 by MyFortune11 Team